Investment Knowledge Base
A principle-driven investment framework built with Obsidian, designed around the fundamental stock price formula:
$$P = EPS \times PE$$
- EPS (Earnings Per Share): Business fundamentals and intrinsic growth (micro perspective)
- PE (Price/Earnings): Market expectations and liquidity (macro + sentiment)
Structure
The knowledge base is organized into five core modules, plus two working areas:
00_Index/ → Dashboard and navigation
10_Core_Logic/ → First principles: Davis Cycle, EPS, PE, earnings surprise
20_Macro/ → Fed policy, treasury yields, monetary history, gold
30_Micro_Analysis/ → Moats, Porter's Five Forces, financial health, tech metrics
40_Valuation/ → PE Band, DCF, relative valuation, metric selection
50_Psychology_Risk/ → Sentiment, position sizing, stop-loss, exit strategy
60_Strategy/ → Sector thesis and annual investment plan (example)
us-stocks/ → Trading rules, strategy, sector knowledge, reviews
polymarket/ → Prediction market (esports) odds trading framework
Highlights
- Trading Rules: 30 rules + 5 iron rules distilled from real trading experience
- Pre-Trade Checklist: Systematic decision framework before every trade
- Two-Stage Entry: "Light buys price, heavy buys confirmation"
- Options Framework: Tiered strategy guide with Greeks, zone integration, and error detection
- Bottom Confirmation Signals: Graded A/B/C signal system for accumulation decisions
- Post-Trade Reviews: Anonymized real case studies — where the real lessons live
- Prediction Market: Independent framework for esports odds repair trading
How to Use
- Open in Obsidian for the full experience (bidirectional links, Mermaid diagrams, LaTeX)
- Start at
00_Index/Home.md— the central dashboard - Navigate through modules to build understanding
- Use
us-stocks/holdings/current/_EXAMPLE_.mdas a template for your own position notes - Use
us-stocks/strategy/trading-rules.mdas your pre-trade reference
Customization
This is a framework, not a prescription:
us-stocks/holdings/— add your own position notes using the templateus-stocks/reviews/— document your own trade reviews60_Strategy/— replace with your own sector thesis and annual planpolymarket/— adapt for any prediction market or alternative asset class
Philosophy
Process over outcome. Discipline compounds. Build the system, fight the randomness.
License
CC BY-SA 4.0 — share and adapt with attribution.
Disclaimer
This is a personal learning framework, not financial advice. All example positions, prices, and reviews are anonymized. Do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making investment decisions.